Preliminary Analysis of Solar-Interplanetary Propagation of the Space Weather Event in May 2024
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摘要: 本文综合运用多种观测手段,对2024年5月8日到11日源于AR 3664太阳活动区的7个前向全晕日冕物质抛射(CME)事件的日地空间传播过程进行了初步分析。这7个CMEs可分为两组,第一组为发生于5月8日05: 36 UT到5月9日09: 24 UT的4个CMEs,第二组为发生于5月9日18: 52 UT到11日01: 36 UT的3个CMEs。利用日地关系观测台A星的日球层成像仪(STEREO A/HI)观测追踪了这两组CMEs对应的高密度区域的时间-距角关系,并采用固定Φ角拟合法和调和均值法推算出这两组CMEs的最优传播方向和平均径向速度。结果表明:这两组CMEs的高密度区域在STEREO A/HI分别发生了混叠,采用拟合得到的径向速度推算出这两组CMEs的到达地球轨道附近的时间最小误差分别约为0.5小时和3小时。这些结果说明这两组CMEs在日地传播过程中,后面快速的CMEs追上了前面稍慢的CMEs,从而形成了两个复杂喷出物,产生了异常强烈的地磁暴。
关键词 日冕物质抛射,射电暴,J-map,固定Φ角拟合法,调和均值法Abstract: A variety of observations are employed to conduct a preliminary analysis of the propagation in solar-interplanetary space of seven earth-directed full-halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs) originated from the solar active region (AR) 3664 from May 8 to 11, 2024. These seven CMEs can be divided into two groups. The first group consists of four CMEs that occurred during the period from 05: 36 UT on May 8 to 9: 24 UT on May 9, and the second group consists of three CMEs that occurred during the period from 18: 52 UT on May 9 to 1: 36 UT on May 11. We utilize the heliospheric imager on the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory A (STEREO A/HI) to observe and track the time-elongation relationships of the high-density regions corresponding to these two groups of CMEs, and apply the fixed-Φ angle fitting method and the harmonic mean fitting method to calculate the most probable propagation directions and average radial velocities of these two groups of CMEs. The results show that the high-density regions associated with these two groups of CMEs are respectively aliased in the field of view of STEREO A/HI. The minimum errors of two group CMEs' arrival times near the Earth's orbit calculated from the fitting radial velocities are 0.5 hours and 3 hours respectively. These results indicate that during the solar-terrestrial propagation of these two groups of CMEs, the fast CMEs behind catch up with the slower CMEs ahead, thus, the two groups of CMEs form two complex ejecta and generate the extremely intense geomagnetic storm.-
Key words:
- CME /
- Radio bursts /
- J-map /
- FΦ fitting method /
- HM fitting method
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