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摘要: 夜光云作为形成于中高层大气(约83 km)的冰晶云,其季节起始时间是研究极地中间层热力学与动力学耦合过程的重要参数。本文基于1979–2023年多源观测数据,系统分析了南北半球夜光云季节起始时间的长期演变特征,并分析其与平流层纬向风场反转事件及太阳活动的相关性。结果表明,南北半球夜光云起始时间存在显著差异,南半球的年际变幅(标准差22天)约为北半球(11天)的两倍,可能与半球间大气环流模态、重力波活动强度等热力、动力过程差异有关。在南半球,夜光云季起始时间与平流层纬向平均风的反转时间表现出极强的正相关关系,对于北半球,虽然呈现反相关特性,但约60天的相隔时间并不能直接判定两者的影响关系。太阳活动(Lyman-α辐射)对夜光云季节起始的调控也呈现半球不对称性,北半球在2011年前与太阳活动呈一定的负相关,后期因平流层动力背景转变而衰减,南半球则表现为微弱响应,表明太阳辐射效应与动力过程可能共同发挥作用。此外,多源数据在结果上的差异,也表明不同探测体制和数据类型会对夜光云长期变化特性研究带来一定的不确定性。
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关键词:
- 夜光云 /
- 季节开启 /
- 长期变化 /
- 平流层纬向平均风反转 /
- 太阳周期活动
Abstract: Polar Mesospheric Clouds (PMCs), as ice crystal clouds formed in the middle and upper atmosphere (approximately 83 km), have a seasonal onset that serves as an important parameter for studying the coupling processes between thermodynamics and dynamics in the polar mesosphere. This paper, based on multi-source observational data from 1979 to 2023, systematically analyzes the long-term evolution characteristics of the onset of PMCs in both hemispheres and examines its correlations with the reversal time of stratospheric zonal mean wind and solar activity. The results show that there are significant differences in the onset of PMCs between the two hemispheres: the interannual variation (with a standard deviation of 22 days) in the southern hemisphere is about twice that in the northern hemisphere (11 days), which may be related to differences in thermal and dynamic processes such as inter-hemispheric circulation modes and the intensity of gravity wave activity. In the southern hemisphere, the onset of PMCs season exhibits a very strong positive correlation with the reversal time of the stratospheric zonal mean wind, while in the northern hemisphere, although a negative correlation is observed, the approximately 60-day difference does not directly indicate a causal relationship between the two. The regulation of the onset by solar activity (Lyman-α radiation) also shows hemispheric asymmetry. In the northern hemisphere, there was a certain negative correlation with solar activity before 2011 that later weakened due to changes in the stratospheric dynamic background, whereas the southern hemisphere exhibited only a weak response. This indicates that both solar radiation effects and dynamic processes may jointly contribute. In addition, the discrepancies among multi-source data suggest that differences in detection systems and data types can introduce uncertainties in studies of the long-term variation characteristics of PMCs.-
Key words:
- PMCs /
- Onset /
- Long-term Variation /
- The Reversal of Stratospheric Zonal Mean Wind /
- Lyman-α
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