2000-2021年青藏高原地区地表净辐射的时空变化
doi: 10.11728/cjss2023.06.2023-0080 cstr: 32142.14.cjss2023.06.2023-0080
Spatio-temporal Changes in Surface Net Radiation in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2021
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摘要: 基于CERES卫星提供的2000年3月至2022年2月SYN1 deg–Level 3辐射数据,结合Theil-Sen Median趋势分析、Mann-Kendall检验以及EOF分析等方法,分析了22年间青藏高原地表净辐射的时空变化规律。研究发现,在空间分布特征上,青藏高原地表净辐射总体呈现南高北低的分布特征,地表净辐射变化趋势具有高度一致性,但在青藏高原南部地表净辐射变化量级远高于青藏高原北部;在时间演化特征上,地表净辐射呈现准正弦振动,年周期变化明显,特别是2016-2017年出现突变,下降约5.52 W·m–2,同期云覆盖度年平均值提高约18.75%。
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关键词:
- 青藏高原 /
- 地表净辐射 /
- 时空变化 /
- EOF分析 /
- Theil-Sen Median趋势 /
- Mann-Kendall检验
Abstract: Based on the SYN1 deg-Level 3 radiation product from the CERES satellite spanning from March 2000 to February 2022, The Theil-Sen Median trend analysis, Mann-Kendall test, and EOF analysis were combined to investigate the spatiotemporal patterns of surface net radiation on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau over the past 22 years. The study found that in terms of spatial distribution characteristics, the surface net radiation in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau exhibits a general pattern of higher values in the southern region and lower values in the northern region. The variation trend of surface net radiation shows a high degree of consistency, but the fluctuation amplitude of it in the southern region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is much higher than that in the northern region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Regarding to the temporal evolution, the surface net radiation displayed quasi-sinusoidal oscillations with a noticeable annual periodicity. Notably, there was a sudden decrease of approximately 5.52 W·m–2 in the period from 2016 to 2017. Concurrently, there was an increase of about 18.75% in the cloud area fraction during the same period. -
图 5 2000-2021年青藏高原地区地表辐射各分量地表上行短波辐射(a)、地表下行短波辐射(b)、 地表上行长波辐射(c)和地表下行长波辐射(d)变化分布
Figure 5. Distribution of changes in surface radiation components in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region from 2000 to 2021, including surface upward shortwave radiation (a), surface downward shortwave radiation (b), surface upward longwave radiation (c), and surface downward longwave radiation (d)
图 7 2000-2021年青藏高原地区地表净辐射第1模态(a)特征向量分布及对应月时间分布(b) ,第2模态(c)特征向量分布及对应月时间分布(d)
Figure 7. Distribution of the first mode (a) and corresponding monthly time distribution (b) of surface net radiation, distribution of the second mode (c) and corresponding monthly time distribution (d) in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region from 2000 to 2021
表 1 青藏高原地区拉萨、西宁、那曲、昌都和玉树5个地基站点参数
Table 1. Parameters of five ground stations in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region, including Lhasa, Xining, Naqu, Changdu and Yushu
地基站点名称 经度(E)/(°) 纬度(N) /(°) 海拔/m 拉萨(55591) 91.13 29.67 3648 西宁(58866) 101.75 36.72 2295 那曲(55299) 92.07 31.48 4507 昌都(56137) 97.17 31.15 3306 玉树(56029) 97.02 33.02 3681 表 2 地表净辐射变化特征划分标准
Table 2. Criteria for classifying changes in surface net radiation
趋势(S) 显著水平(Z值) 趋势特征 $ S > 0 $ $ \left|Z\right|\ge 2.58 $ 显著增加 $ 1.96 < \left|Z\right| < 2.58 $ 不显著增加 $ \left|Z\right|\le 1.96 $ 稳定不变 $ S=0 $ $ \left|Z\right| $ 稳定不变 $ S < 0 $ $ \left|Z\right|\le 1.96 $ 稳定不变 $ 1.96 < \left|Z\right| < 2.58 $ 不显著减少 $ \left|Z\right|\ge 2.58 $ 显著减少 表 3 青藏高原地区地表净辐射时空场EOF分解前5个模态特征值与方差贡献率
Table 3. Characteristic values and variances contribution rate of the first five EOF modes for the spatial-temporal pattern of surface net radiation in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region
特征向量 特征根 方差贡献率/(%) 累积方差贡献率/(%) 特征根误差下限 特征根误差上限 1 591207.56 75.55 75.55 539749.55 642665.58 2 59337.21 7.58 83.13 54172.57 64501.85 3 34403.61 4.40 87.53 31409.16 37398.06 4 14341.27 1.83 89.36 13093.02 15589.52 5 11292.01 1.44 90.80 10309.16 12274.85 -
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