Satellite Telemetry Parameter Prediction Based on a Linear-Decoder Combination
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摘要: 在轨卫星的状态检测、运行分析与异常检测是确保卫星安全、可靠在轨运行的重要环节,对提升 在轨运行管理效率具有重要意义。预测卫星遥测参数时序数据的变化趋势,对于卫星的异常检测和安全 运行非常必要。随着卫星系统的复杂化与任务多样化,遥测数据的规模与维度迅速增长,传统基于经验 规则或简单统计模型的预测与检测方法已难以满足高效分析与快速响应的需求。针对遥测参数没有显著 的周期性特征,传统方法难以有效建模,进而导致预测方法精度不足的问题,本文提出了一种基于线性 解码器组合的预测模型。该模型采用时间序列分解分别获取遥测参数的趋势项和季节项,并在解码器的 基础上采用不同粒度的嵌入策略,有效捕捉局部与全局时序特征。在实验部分,本文将所提方法应用于 某在轨卫星的实际遥测数据,并选取公开时序预测数据集进行对比实验,证实了方法的可行性与有效性。Abstract: The status monitoring, operational analysis, and anomaly detection of on-orbit satellites are critical to ensuring their safe and reliable operation, and play an important role in improving the efficiency of on-orbit management. Predicting the trend of satellite telemetry time series data is essential for anomaly detection and safe operation. With the increasing complexity of satellite systems and diversification of missions, the scale and dimensionality of telemetry data have rapidly expanded. Traditional prediction and detection methods based on empirical rules or simple statistical models struggle to meet the demands for efficient analysis and rapid response. Specifically, due to the lack of obvious periodic features in telemetry parameters, traditional methods face difficulties in effective modeling, resulting in insufficient prediction accuracy. This paper proposes a prediction model based on a linear-decoder combination. The model decomposes the time series to extract trend and seasonal components separately, and employs multi-granularity embedding strategies within the decoder to effectively capture both local and global temporal features. In the experimental section, the proposed method is applied to real telemetry data from an on-orbit satellite and compared against public time series forecasting datasets, demonstrating its feasibility and effectiveness.
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Key words:
- Trend decomposition /
- Satellite telemetry parameters /
- Data prediction /
- Deep learning
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